Anthropogenic Influence on the Record-Breaking Compound Hot and Dry Event in Summer 2022 in the Yangtze River Basin in China

Author:

Li Wei1,Jiang Zhihong1,Li Laurent2

Affiliation:

1. Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change, Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China;

2. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS, Sorbonne Université, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Ecole Polytechnique, Paris, France

Abstract

Abstract CMIP6 simulations suggest that the probability of the compound hot and dry event occurring in summer 2022 in the Yangtze River basin in China is enhanced by anthropogenic effect by 7 times.

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference15 articles.

1. Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective”];Chen, Y.,2019

2. A multivariate conditional probability ratio framework for the detection and attribution of compound climate extremes;Chiang, F.,2021

3. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events;Christidis, N.,2013

4. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization;Eyring, V.,2016

5. Statistical prediction of the severity of compound dry-hot events based on El Niño-Southern Oscillation;Hao, Z.,2019

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