Affiliation:
1. National Center for Atmospheric Research,1 Boulder, CO 80307
Abstract
In operational numerical weather prediction systems, both observations and numerical models contribute to the skill of the forecast. A simple diagram representing the relative contributions of observations and models to the current level of forecast skill and to the ultimate predictability of atmospheric phenomena is interpreted in this note. The forecast skill of 500 mb heights and an estimate of the ultimate predictability of this variable are used in a quantitative illustration of the diagram.
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Cited by
18 articles.
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