Processes and Mechanisms of Persistent Extreme Rainfall Events in the Antarctic Peninsula during Austral Summer

Abstract

Abstract Using ERA-Interim and output of the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) forced by ERA-Interim, this study investigates the mechanisms governing the persistent extreme rainfall events (PEREs) in the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) during austral summer (December–February) for the period 1980–2017. Due to the topography’s blocking effect on the warm and humid airflow, the increase in the rainfall is concentrated over the western AP during the periods of the PEREs. Contributed mainly by the low-frequency variations, the positive rainfall anomalies on the western AP can persist for multiple days, leading to the persistence of the extreme rainfall events. The additional rainfall anomalies can be attributed to the increase in the total precipitation. Through regulating the total precipitation, the low-frequency atmospheric circulation anomalies are vital to the formation of the PEREs. Specifically, a persistent circulation pattern with an anomalous cyclone (anticyclone) to the east (west) of the AP is conductive to the enhancement of poleward moisture fluxes. As a result, the total precipitation around the AP is strengthened, as well as the rainfall. Further investigation reveals that the barotropic feedback of the high-frequency eddies plays an important role in maintaining the low-frequency circulation anomalies.