Using Neural Networks to Correct Historical Climate Observations

Abstract

AbstractBiases in expendable bathythermograph (XBT) instruments have emerged as a leading uncertainty in reconstructions of historical ocean heat content change and therefore climate change. Corrections for these biases depend on the type of XBT used; however, this is unspecified for 52% of the historical XBT profiles in the World Ocean Database. Here, we use profiles of known XBT type to train a neural network that can classify probe type based on three covariates: profile date, maximum recorded depth, and country of origin. Whereas previous studies have shown an average classification skill of 77%, falling below 50% for some periods, our new algorithm maintains an average skill of 90%, with a minimum of 70%. Our study illustrates the potential for successfully applying machine learning approaches in a wide variety of instrument classification problems in order to promote more homogeneous climate data records.