The Wage-Price Spiral in Turkey and Its Effect on Inflation: ARDL Bounds Test Approach

Author:

BADAY YILDIZ Ezgi1

Affiliation:

1. KARADENİZ TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİ

Abstract

This article explores the validity of the wage-price spiral and its effect on inflation in Turkey in the period 2009Q1-2021Q3. For this purpose, three models have been estimated. The first is the basic wage-price spiral model; the second is the wage-price model decoupled from productivity in the industrial sector; the third is the extended model that takes into account the macro determinants underlying price inflation. According to the results of the models estimated using the ARDL Bounds Test Approach, the wage-price spiral is valid only when other determinants of inflation are ignored. According to the estimation results of the extended model, it is concluded that real gross domestic product on wages and exchange rate on prices are positive and statistically significant in both the long and short run.

Publisher

International Journal of Economics and Innovation

Subject

Religious studies,Cultural Studies

Reference30 articles.

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3. Aydemir, B. (2021). II. Dünya Savaşı Sonrasında (1945-1950) Türkiye'nin İktisadî Durumu ve Sosyal Hayatta Yaşanan Gelişmeler. İçtimaiyat, 5(1), 73-89.

4. Blanchard, O. J. (1985). The Wage Price Spiral. NBER Working Paper, 1771, 1-29.

5. Boissay, F., De Fiore, F., Igan, D., Tejada, A. P., ve Rees, D. (2022). Are major advanced economies on the verge of a wage-price spiral? (No. 53). Bank for International Settlements.

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