Deep Learning‐Based Prediction of Final Infarct Core from CT Perfusion Data: A Comparison to the Clinical Standard

Author:

Werdiger Freda12ORCID,Visser Milanka12,Chen Chushuang2,Lam Christina2,Kolacz James12,Parsons Mark W.34,Lin Longting3,Levi Christopher5,Bivard Andrew12,

Affiliation:

1. Department of Medicine Dentistry and Health Sciences The University of Melbourne Melbourne Australia

2. Melbourne Brain Centre Department of Neurology The Royal Melbourne Hospital Melbourne Australia

3. Ingham Institute for Applied Medical Research Southwestern Sydney Clinical School University of New South Wales Liverpool Australia

4. Department of Neurology Liverpool Hospital Liverpool NSW Australia

5. Department of Neurology John Hunter Hospital University of Newcastle Newcastle NSW Australia

Abstract

BACKGROUND In the management of acute ischemic stroke, computed tomography perfusion (CTP) is used to define the ischemic core and penumbra to estimate tissue fate after reperfusion therapy. The core/penumbra dichotomy uses single‐value thresholds, which potentially discards valuable data and oversimplifies the complexity of core and penumbral estimation. Advancing the dichotomous CTP output to a probability model has several advantages such as more sophisticated modeling of pathophysiology, supporting reader interpretation, and assessing a greater range of available data to estimate tissue fate. METHODS In this retrospective study, we developed a CTP probability model to move away from single perfusion thresholds to estimate tissue fate. All patients from the International Stroke Perfusion Imaging Registry database had baseline CTP and were included in the current study if they had a large vessel occlusion that recanalized fully after thrombectomy and had follow‐up diffusion‐weighted imaging. Data were split into training, validation, and testing groups. Training and validation cohorts were used to develop a deep learning model in project MONAI (Medical Open Network for Artificial Intelligence) and performance metrics were derived from the testing set. RESULTS In total, 243 patients were included in the study. The Attention U‐Net was the best performing deep learning model, producing the best prediction of follow‐up infarct core on the test set (n = 48): mean diverse counterfactual explanations score = 0.430±0.213, mean area under the curve = 0.765±0.095; better than the single‐value thresholding with a diverse counterfactual explanations scoreof 0.247±0.167 (paired t ‐test, P <0.0001) and area under the curveof 0.604±0.074 ( P <0.0001). CONCLUSION The deep learning probabilistic CTP model outperformed the current clinical standard, providing a more accurate core estimate than single‐threshold‐based measures.

Publisher

Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

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