Temperature Profile and Adverse Outcomes After Discharge From the Intensive Care Unit

Abstract

Background A predictive model that uses the rhythmicity of core body temperature (CBT) could be an easily accessible clinical tool to ultimately improve outcomes among critically ill patients. Objectives To assess the relation between the 24-hour CBT profile (CBT-24) before intensive care unit (ICU) discharge and clinical events in the step-down unit within 7 days of ICU discharge. Methods This retrospective cohort study in a tertiary ICU at a single center included adult patients requiring acute invasive ventilation for more than 48 hours and assessed major clinical adverse events (MCAEs) and rapid response system activations (RRSAs) within 7 days of ICU discharge (MCAE-7 and RRSA-7, respectively). Results The 291 enrolled patients had a median mechanical ventilation duration of 139 hours (IQR, 50-862 hours) and at admission had a median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score of 22 (IQR, 7-42). At least 1 MCAE or RRSA occurred in 64% and 22% of patients, respectively. Independent predictors of an MCAE-7 were absence of CBT-24 rhythmicity (odds ratio, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.07-2.98]; P = .03), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at ICU discharge (1.10 [1.00-1.21]; P = .05), male sex (1.72 [1.04-2.86]; P = .04), age (1.02 [1.00-1.04]; P = .02), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (0.87 [0.76-0.99]; P = .03). Age (1.03 [1.01-1.05]; P = .006), sepsis at ICU admission (2.02 [1.13-3.63]; P = .02), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (1.18 [1.02-1.36]; P = .02) were independent predictors of an RRSA-7. Conclusions Use of CBT-24 rhythmicity can assist in stratifying a patient’s risk of subsequent deterioration during general care within 7 days of ICU discharge.