Macroeconomic Transformations of the Russian Unemployment Rate at the Beginning of the XXI Century

Author:

Bylkov Vladimir1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Baikal State University

Abstract

Unemployment is one of the main indicators of the labor market. The study analyzed the level of unemployment for more than 20 years of market transformations in Russia. The study examined characteristic of general and registered unemployment. The research determined the role of the dynamics of this indicator in assessing the current socio-economic situation in the country. We found that an increase in the unemployment rate indicates the formation of social risks of destabilization of the labor market. The conditions for the onset of crisis phenomena in the domestic labor market are predetermined. The study identified bifurcation points of changes in the indicative values of the indicator as an element of possible socio-economic shocks leading to deviations in the functioning of the labor market. It is confirmed that for an objective assessment of the factors affecting the unemployment rate, it is necessary to use labor supply and demand indicators. In addition, we analyzed the data on the number of citizens who applied in search of work to employment centers and the declared need for workers. Comparison of these indicators made it possible to draw very logical conclusions.

Publisher

Baikal State University

Reference11 articles.

1. Nyurgachev O.A., Nosyreva I.G. Unemployment as an Indicator of State Regulation of Employment in the City of Irkutsk. Global and Regional Research, 2022, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 63–72. (In Russian). EDN: DBIETQ.

2. Bylkov V.G. Labor Market and Employment Promotion. Moscow, KnoRus Publ., 2019. 336 p.

3. Zemlyachev S.V., Zemlyacheva O.A. Analysis of Unemployment in the Republic of Crimea and Ways to Reduce it. Krymskii nauchnyi vestnik = The Crimean Scientific Bulletin, 2019, no. 3, pp. 37–46. (In Russian). EDN: HCDXRE.

4. Pogosov I.A., Sokolovskaya E.A. Economic Crises and Unemployment in Russia. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2016, no. 6, pp. 83–91. (In Russian). EDN: XSNZOL.

5. Sabirzhanova Z.T. Unemployment: Theoretical Aspects, its Reasons and Peculiarities in Russia. Sotsial'no-ekonomicheskii i gumanitarnyi zhurnal = Social and Economic and Humanitarian Magazine, 2018, no. 4, pp. 55–62. (In Russian). EDN: YYIJVZ.

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