Oscillatory Dynamics in Infectivity and Death Rates of COVID-19

Author:

Pavlíček Tomáš1,Rehak Pavel2,Král Petr23ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Evolution, University of Haifa, Mt. Carmel, Israel

2. Department of Chemistry, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA

3. Department of Physics, Biopharmaceutical Sciences, and Chemical Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA

Abstract

The infectivity and death rates for COVID-19 have been observed in many countries around the world as well as in the collective data of the whole world. These oscillations show distinct circaseptan periodicity, which could be associated with numerous biological reasons as well as with improper reporting of the data collected. Since very different results are observed in different countries and even continents, such as Sweden (very significant oscillations) or India (almost no oscillations), these data provide a very important message about different conditions under which the disease is spread or is reported, which, in turn, could serve as guidance tools in future epidemics. It is necessary that follow-up studies track the observed differences and fully reliably address their origins.

Publisher

American Society for Microbiology

Subject

Computer Science Applications,Genetics,Molecular Biology,Modeling and Simulation,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics,Biochemistry,Physiology,Microbiology

Reference25 articles.

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