Repeat testing of mpox specimens with late CTs improves detection of potential false positive cases

Abstract

ABSTRACT The mpox pandemic necessitated the rapid development of clinical assays for monkeypox virus detection. While the majority of mpox specimens have high viral loads with corresponding early cycle threshold (CT) values, reports have indicated some specimens with late CT values can represent false positive results. To mitigate this risk, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) published an advisory recommending repeat testing of all specimens with CT values ≥34. However, limited experimental data were available to support this specific cutoff. In this study, we examine whether a more conservative approach in which all specimens with CT values ≥29 are repeated would improve the detection of potential false positive results. Compared to the CDC algorithm, our approach identified an additional 20% (5/25) of potential false positive results. To assess the impact of this cutoff on laboratory workload, we modeled the expected increase in test volume and turnaround time (TAT) relative to the CDC method. Using a lower repeat threshold, test volume increased by 0.7% while mean TAT increased by less than 15 minutes. Overall, a lower threshold than recommended by the CDC for repeating late CT mpox specimens may reduce the number of false positives reported while minimally impacting testing volume and TAT.