Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021

Author:

Borchering Rebecca K.,Viboud Cécile,Howerton Emily,Smith Claire P.,Truelove Shaun,Runge Michael C.,Reich Nicholas G.,Contamin Lucie,Levander John,Salerno Jessica,van Panhuis Wilbert,Kinsey Matt,Tallaksen Kate,Obrecht R. Freddy,Asher Laura,Costello Cash,Kelbaugh Michael,Wilson Shelby,Shin Lauren,Gallagher Molly E.,Mullany Luke C.,Rainwater-Lovett Kaitlin,Lemaitre Joseph C.,Dent Juan,Grantz Kyra H.,Kaminsky Joshua,Lauer Stephen A.,Lee Elizabeth C.,Meredith Hannah R.,Perez-Saez Javier,Keegan Lindsay T.,Karlen Dean,Chinazzi Matteo,Davis Jessica T.,Mu Kunpeng,Xiong Xinyue,Pastore y Piontti Ana,Vespignani Alessandro,Srivastava Ajitesh,Porebski Przemyslaw,Venkatramanan Srinivasan,Adiga Aniruddha,Lewis Bryan,Klahn Brian,Outten Joseph,Schlitt James,Corbett Patrick,Telionis Pyrros Alexander,Wang Lijing,Peddireddy Akhil Sai,Hurt Benjamin,Chen Jiangzhuo,Vullikanti Anil,Marathe Madhav,Healy Jessica M.,Slayton Rachel B.,Biggerstaff Matthew,Johansson Michael A.,Shea Katriona,Lessler Justin

Publisher

Centers for Disease Control MMWR Office

Subject

Health Information Management,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis,General Medicine,Health (social science),Epidemiology

Reference10 articles.

1. CDC. COVID data tracker. Atlanta, GA: US Department of Health and Human Services, CDC; 2020. Accessed April 19, 2021. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home

2. Johns Hopkins University & Medicine. Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University & Medicine; 2020. Accessed April 19, 2021. https://origin-coronavirus.jhu.edu/

3. Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 lineage—United States, December 29, 2020–January 12, 2021.;Galloway;MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep,2021

4. MIDAS Network. COVID-19 scenario modeling hub. San Francisco, CA: Github; 2021. Accessed April 19, 2021. https://github.com/midas-network/covid19-scenario-modeling-hub

5. US Department of Health and Human Services. COVID-19 reported patient impact and hospital capacity by state timeseries. Washington, DC: US Department of Health and Human Services; 2020. Accessed April 19, 2021. https://healthdata.gov/Hospital/COVID-19-Reported-Patient-Impact-and-Hospital-Capa/g62h-syeh

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