Abstract
One explanation for the increasing number of hectares with coca cultivation is that eradication strategies displace coca crops but fail to completely clear affected areas. In the drug policy literature, that dynamic shifting is commonly known as the balloon effect. This study integrates georeferenced agricultural data through spatially explicit econometric models to test the hypothesis that forced eradication displace coca crops. Using annual data for 1,116 contiguous municipalities in Colombia between 2001 and 2015, we estimate a spatial Durbin model with municipal and time fixed effects. Our results suggest that, on average, aerial fumigation in a municipality diffuses the benefits of this crime control strategy to neighboring municipalities.
Publisher
Banco de la República Colombia
Reference97 articles.
1. Acevedo, M. C. (2015). Essays in the Political Economy of Conflict and Development. Harvard University.
2. Allatt, P. (1984). Residential security: containment and displacement of burglary. The Howard Journal of Criminal Justice, 23(2), 99-116.
3. Angrist, J. D., & Kugler, A. D. (2008). Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(2), 191-215. Retrieved from https://librarylink.uncc.edu/login?url=http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=eoh&AN=0969556&site=ehost-live&scope=site
4. ANLA. (2015). Resolución No. 1214, 30 de Septiembre 2015 (p. 24). p. 24. Bogotá, D.C.: Autoridad Nacional de Licencias Ambientales.
5. Anselin, L. (1988). Spatial econometrics : methods and models. Dordrecht; Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.