Deep and shallow thinking in the long run

Author:

Nax Heinrich Harald1,Newton Jonathan2

Affiliation:

1. Zurich Center for Market Design and SUZ, University of Zurich

2. Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University

Abstract

Humans differ in their strategic reasoning abilities and in beliefs about others' strategic reasoning abilities. Studying such cognitive hierarchies has produced new insights regarding equilibrium analysis in economics. This paper investigates the effect of cognitive hierarchies on long run behavior. Despite short run behavior being highly sensitive to variation in strategic reasoning abilities, this variation is not replicated in the long run. In particular, when generalized risk dominant strategy profiles exist, they emerge in the long run independently of the strategic reasoning abilities of players. These abilities may be arbitrarily low or high, heterogeneous across players, and evolving over time.

Funder

Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung

Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

Publisher

The Econometric Society

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

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