Delay-driven phase transitions in an epidemic model on time-varying networks

Abstract

A complex networked system typically has a time-varying nature in interactions among its components, which is intrinsically complicated and therefore technically challenging for analysis and control. This paper investigates an epidemic process on a time-varying network with a time delay. First, an averaging theorem is established to approximate the delayed time-varying system using autonomous differential equations for the analysis of system evolution. On this basis, the critical time delay is determined, across which the endemic equilibrium becomes unstable and a phase transition to oscillation in time via Hopf bifurcation will appear. Then, numerical examples are examined, including a periodically time-varying network, a blinking network, and a quasi-periodically time-varying network, which are simulated to verify the theoretical results. Further, it is demonstrated that the existence of time delay can extend the network frequency range to generate Turing patterns, showing a facilitating effect on phase transitions.