Stochastic Models Of Dynamic Balance State For The Morphological Patterns Of Cryolithozone Landscapes

Author:

Victorov Alexey S.1,Trapeznikova Olga N.1

Affiliation:

1. Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience of Russian Academy of Science

Abstract

The paper deals with mathematical modeling of a morphological pattern for a broad spectrum of cryolithozone landscapes in a state of a dynamic balance. The state of the dynamic balance means that all the elements of this morphological pattern are in continuous changing while its general parameters as a whole are stable. Two contradirectional processes at the same territory is a precondition for a state of dynamic balance.We developed a morphological pattern model for lacustrine thermokarst plains with fluvial erosion on the base of the mathematical morphology of landscape using the random process theory. The contra-directional processes here include thermokarst lakes appearing and increasing in size from one side and drainage of the lakes by fluvial erosion, from the other. Thus, the regularities of the structure and dynamics of each landscape morphological pattern are theoretically substantiated. The results of the mathematical modeling were empirically verified at some key sites.

Publisher

Russian Geographical Society

Subject

Environmental Science (miscellaneous),Geography, Planning and Development

Reference21 articles.

1. Burn C.R., Smith M. W. (1990). Development of Thermokarst Lakes During the Holocene at Sites Near Mayo, Yukon Territory. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, v. 1, pp. 161-176.

2. Dneprovskaya V. P., Bryksina N. A., Polishchuk Yu. M. (2009). Study of Thermokarst Changes in Discontinuous Zone of West-Siberian Permafrost Based on Space Images. Issledovanie Zemli iz Kosmosa. 4. pp. 88-96 (in Russian).

3. Günther F., Overduin P., Baranskaya A., Opel T. and Grigoriev M. N. (2013). Observing Muostakh Island disappear: erosion of a ground-ice-rich coast in response to summer warming and sea ice reduction on the East Siberian shelf // The Cryosphere Discussions, 7, pp. 4101-4176.

4. Kipotin S.N., Polishchuk Yu. M., Bryksina N. A. (2009). Abrupt changes of thermokarst lakes in Western Siberia: impacts of climatic warming on permafrost melting. International Journal of Environmental Studies. v 66, 4, pp. 423-431.

5. Kravtsova V.I., Bystrova A.G. (2009). Changes in thermokarst lake size in different regions of Russia for the last 30 years, Kriosfera Zemli, v.15, 2, pp. 16-26.

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