An Early Assessment of the Forecast by the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel

Abstract

Abstract The effects of solar activity on technology have increased the interest in solar forecasting both in the scientific community and in society. With two and a half years of data available, we are approximately halfway to the maximum of Solar Cycle 25. Several research groups around the world published their predictions for this cycle. In this work, we assess the forecast made by the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel. Analyzing the sunspot number data available, we conclude that Solar Cycle 25 is one of the weakest cycles since mid-18th century and, however, it is stronger than the initial forecast of the highest range predicted by the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel for the two first years and a half of its ascending phase.