Connections between the Transient Polar Warming and Solstitial Pause on Mars

Abstract

Abstract Observations show two different transient atmospheric events around the northern winter solstice on Mars: a warming of the polar lower atmosphere (100–10 Pa) and a reduction in the near-surface wave activity. Here we examine the cause of, and connections between, these two events, and how their occurrence may have changed in past climates using a suite of Mars general circulation model simulations. These simulations show that the polar warming and pause in wave activity are connected, and they occur when there are sufficiently large dust heating rates in the southern (summer) high latitudes, which drive an expansion of the downwelling branch of the Hadley cell into the northern polar region. This causes a poleward shift and weakening of the jet, a warming of the polar lower atmosphere, and reduced baroclinic instability and waves near the surface. The occurrence and strength of the polar warming and wave activity pause increase with obliquity and dust optical depth, with a stronger dependence on obliquity. In past climates with low obliquity the warming and pause are unlikely to occur, or will be very weak, whereas during times of high obliquity they will likely be strong and occur every winter, unless the atmosphere is nearly free of dust.