Econometric modelling in Italy: From economic planning to academic research

Abstract

The paper deals with the introduction and acceptance of econometric model-ling as a tool to conduct economic policy analysis in Italy in the Post War. A re-search practice first applied in public and private institutions other than universi-ties. It is argued that economic planning and policymakers' needs of empirical es-timations, simulations and forecasts played an important role in supporting quan-titative research, at the time when economics was still conceived as a theoretical discipline. Sylos Labini's (1967) econometric model, the Modellaccio (1970-75), the University of Bologna model (1976) were the first examples of econometric modelling activities within academia. Only since the late 1980s, also due to a gen-erational change, econometrics is fully accepted and introduced in economics cur-ricula with the discipline that aligned to international standards.