Global trends in incidence, death, burden and risk factors of early-onset cancer from 1990 to 2019

Author:

Zhao Jianhui,Xu Liying,Sun Jing,Song Mingyang,Wang Lijuan,Yuan Shuai,Zhu Yingshuang,Wan Zhengwei,Larsson Susanna,Tsilidis Konstantinos,Dunlop Malcolm,Campbell Harry,Rudan Igor,Song PeigeORCID,Theodoratou Evropi,Ding KefengORCID,Li XueORCID

Abstract

ObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the global burden of early-onset cancer based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study for 29 cancers worldwid.Methods and analysisIncidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and risk factors for 29 early-onset cancer groups were obtained from GBD.ResultsGlobal incidence of early-onset cancer increased by 79.1% and the number of early-onset cancer deaths increased by 27.7% between 1990 and 2019. Early-onset breast, tracheal, bronchus and lung, stomach and colorectal cancers showed the highest mortality and DALYs in 2019. Globally, the incidence rates of early-onset nasopharyngeal and prostate cancer showed the fastest increasing trend, whereas early-onset liver cancer showed the sharpest decrease. Early-onset colorectal cancers had high DALYs within the top five ranking for both men and women. High-middle and middle Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions had the highest burden of early-onset cancer. The morbidity of early-onset cancer increased with the SDI, and the mortality rate decreased considerably when SDI increased from 0.7 to 1. The projections indicated that the global number of incidence and deaths of early-onset cancer would increase by 31% and 21% in 2030, respectively. Dietary risk factors (diet high in red meat, low in fruits, high in sodium and low in milk, etc), alcohol consumption and tobacco use are the main risk factors underlying early-onset cancers.ConclusionEarly-onset cancer morbidity continues to increase worldwide with notable variances in mortality and DALYs between areas, countries, sex and cancer types. Encouraging a healthy lifestyle could reduce early-onset cancer disease burden.

Funder

Project of the regional diagnosis and treatment center of the Health Planning Committee

CRUK Career Development Fellowship

Natural Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of Zhejiang Province

Swedish Heart Lung Foundation

Swedish Cancer Society

Swedish Research Council

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

BMJ

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