Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker for predicting progression-free survival and overall survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Author:

Taliento CristinaORCID,Morciano Giampaolo,Nero Camilla,Froyman Wouter,Vizzielli GiuseppeORCID,Pavone MatteoORCID,Salvioli Stefano,Tormen Mara,Fiorica Francesco,Scutiero Gennaro,Scambia GiovanniORCID,Giorgi Carlotta,Greco Pantaleo,Pinton Paolo

Abstract

ObjectivesCirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is emerging as a potential prognostic biomarker in multiple tumor types. However, despite the many studies available on small series of patients with ovarian cancer, a recent systematic review and meta-analysis is lacking. The objective of this study was to determine the association of ctDNA with progression-free-survival and overall survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.MethodsAn electronic search was conducted using PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, CENTRAL (Cochrane Library), and CINAHL-Complete from January 2000 to September 15, 2023. To be included in the analysis the studies had to meet the following pre-specified inclusion criteria: (1) evaluable ctDNA; (2) progression-free-survival and overall survival reported as hazard ratio (HR); and (3) the patient population had epithelial ovarian cancer at the time of ctDNA detection. We evaluated the association of ctDNA with progression-free survival and overall survival. Secondary outcomes focused on sub-group analysis of genomic alterations and international Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage.ResultsA total of 26 studies reporting on 1696 patients with epithelial ovarian cancer were included. The overall concordance rate between plasma-based and tissue-based analyses was approximately 62%. We found that a high level of ctDNA in epithelial ovarian cancer was associated with worse progression-free survival (HR 5.31, 95% CI 2.14 to 13.17, p<0.001) and overall survival (HR 2.98, 95% CI 1.86 to 4.76, p<0.0001). The sub-group analysis showed a greater than threefold increase in the risk of relapse in patients with positive HOXA9 meth-ctDNA (HR 3.84, 95% CI 1.57 to 9.41, p=0.003).ConclusionsctDNA was significantly associated with worse progression-free survival and overall survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer. Further prospective studies are needed.PROSPERO registration numberCRD42023469390.

Publisher

BMJ

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