Trends in the prevalence and social determinants of stunting in India, 2005–2021: findings from three rounds of the National Family Health Survey

Abstract

ObjectivesTo assess social determinants of stunting and the shifts in contributions of socio-demographic factors to national prevalence trends in India between 2005 and 2021.MethodsWe leveraged data from three rounds of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS-3: 2005–2006, NFHS-4: 2015–2016, NFHS-5: 2019–2021) for 443 038 children under 5 years. Adjusted logistic regression models and a Kitigawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition were deployed to examine how wealth, residence, belonging to a marginalised social group, maternal education and child sex contributed to changes in stunting prevalence.ResultsThe decrease in stunting prevalence was notably slower between NFHS-4 and NFHS-5 (annual average rate of reduction (AARR): 1.33%) than between NFHS-3 and NFHS-4 (AARR: 2.20%). The protective effect of high wealth diminished from 2015 onwards but persisted for high maternal education. However, an intersection of higher household wealth and maternal education mitigated stunting to a greater extent than either factor in isolation. Residence only predicted stunting in 2005–2006 with an urban disadvantage (adjusted OR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.29). Children from marginalised social groups displayed increased likelihoods of stunting, from 6–16% in 2005–2006 to 11–21% in 2015–2016 and 2020–2021. Being male was associated with 6% and 7% increased odds of stunting in 2015–2016 and 2019–2021, respectively. Increased household wealth (45%) and maternal education (14%) contributed to decreased stunting prevalence between 2005 and 2021.ConclusionsStunting prevalence in India has decreased across social groups. However, social disparities in stunting persist and are exacerbated by intersections of low household wealth, maternal education and being from a marginalised social group. Increased survival must be accompanied by needs-based interventions to support children and mitigate mutually reinforcing sources of inequality.