Risky business: a single-centre cross-sectional analysis of calculated cardiovascular risk in patients with primary aldosteronism and essential hypertension

Author:

Solanki PravikORCID,Gwini Stella May,Libianto Renata,Gabb Genevieve,Shen Jimmy,Young Morag J,Fuller Peter J,Yang Jun

Abstract

ObjectivesPrimary aldosteronism (PA), the most common endocrine cause of hypertension, is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) than blood pressure (BP)-matched essential hypertension (EH). We aimed to compare the calculated risks of CVD in patients who had hypertension with PA or EH using CVD risk calculators, hypothesising that they will fail to recognise the increased CVD risk in PA.DesignCross-sectional analysis.SettingAn endocrine hypertension service in Victoria, Australia.ParticipantsPatients who had hypertension without CVD referred for the investigation of hypertension.Outcome measuresCalculated 5-year or 10-year CVD risk as predicted by the National Vascular Disease Prevention Alliance (NVDPA) algorithm, Framingham Risk Score, Pooled Cohort Equations and QRISK3.ResultsThose with PA (n=128) and EH (n=133), did not differ significantly in their calculated CVD risks with the NVDPA algorithm (moderate-to-high 5-year risk 36/100 vs 45/99, p=0.17); the Framingham Risk Score (median 10-year risk 7.72% (4.43%–12.95%) vs 6.84% (3.85%–10.50%), p=0.14); the Pooled Cohort Equations (median 10-year risk 9.45% (4.36%–15.37%) vs 7.90% (2.09%–14.73%), p=0.07); and QRISK3 (median 10-year risk 11.31% (7.22%–20.29%) vs 12.47% (5.10%–19.93%), p=0.51). Similarities persisted on regression analyses accounting for systolic BP.ConclusionsCVD risk algorithms do not reflect the increased risk of CVD in patients with PA, and likely underestimate the true risk of CVD among those with PA. Screening for PA, in addition to using the CVD risk algorithm in patients who had hypertension, may facilitate the targeted treatment of PA and minimisation of cardiovascular risk in affected individuals.

Funder

National Health and Medical Research Council

Publisher

BMJ

Subject

General Medicine

Reference23 articles.

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2. National Vascular Disease Prevention Alliance . Guidelines for the management of absolute cardiovascular disease risk. Australia, 2012.

3. Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Using Risk Factor Categories

4. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute . Assessing cardiovascular risk: systematic evidence review from the risk assessment work group. United States: National Institutes of Health, 2013.

5. ClinRisk . QRISK3, 2018. Available: https://qrisk.org/three/index.php

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