Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies in Kashmir, India, 7 months after the first reported local COVID-19 case: results of a population-based seroprevalence survey from October to November 2020

Author:

Khan S Muhammad SalimORCID,Qurieshi Mariya Amin,Haq InaamulORCID,Majid Sabhiya,Ahmad Javid,Ayub Taha,Bhat Ashfaq Ahmad,Fazili Anjum Bashir,Ganai Abdul Majeed,Jan Yasmeen,Kaul Rauf-ur-Rashid,Khan Zahid Ali,Masoodi Muneer Ahmad,Mushtaq Beenish,Nazir Fouzia,Nazir Muzamil,Raja Malik Waseem,Rasool Mahbooba,Asma Anjum,Ayoub Shifana,Aziz Munazza,Bhat Arif Akbar,Chowdri Iqra Nisar,Ismail Shaista,Kawoosa Misbah Ferooz,Khan Mehvish Afzal,Khan Mosin Saleem,Kousar Rafiya,Lone Ab Aziz,Nabi Shahroz,Obaid Mohammad,Qazi Tanzeela Bashir,Sabah Iram,Sumji Ishtiyaq Ahmad

Abstract

ObjectivesWe designed a population-based survey in Kashmir to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies in the general population aged 18 years and above.SettingThe survey was conducted among 110 villages and urban wards across 10 districts in Kashmir from 17 October 2020 to 4 November 2020.ParticipantsIndividuals aged 18 years and above were eligible to be included in the survey. Serum samples were tested for the presence of SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies using the Abbott SARS-CoV-2 IgG assay.Primary and secondary outcome measuresWe labelled assay results equal to or above the cut-off index value of 1.4 as positive for SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies. Seroprevalence estimates were adjusted for the sampling design and assay characteristics.ResultsOut of 6397 eligible individuals enumerated, 6315 (98.7%) agreed to participate. The final analysis was done on 6230 participants. Seroprevalence adjusted for the sampling design and assay characteristics was 36.7% (95% CI 34.3% to 39.2%). Seroprevalence was higher among the older population. Among seropositive individuals, 10.2% (247/2415) reported a history of COVID-19-like symptoms. Out of 474 symptomatic individuals, 233 (49.2%) reported having been tested. We estimated an infection fatality rate of 0.034%.ConclusionsDuring the first 7 months of the COVID-19 epidemic in Kashmir Valley, approximately 37% of individuals were infected. The reported number of COVID-19 cases was only a small fraction of the estimated number of infections. A more efficient surveillance system with strengthened reporting of COVID-19 cases and deaths is warranted.

Funder

National Health Mission Jammu & Kashmir

Publisher

BMJ

Subject

General Medicine

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