Birth prevalence of anorectal malformations in England and 5-year survival: a national birth cohort study

Abstract

ObjectiveTo determine the birth prevalence, maternal risk factors and 5-year survival for isolated and complex anorectal malformations.DesignNational birth cohort using hospital admission data and death records.SettingAll National Health Service England hospitals.PatientsLive-born singletons delivered from 2002 through 2018, with evidence in the first year of life of a diagnosis of an anorectal malformation and repair during a hospital admission, or anorectal malformation recorded on the death certificate. Cases were further classified as isolated or complex depending on the presence of additional anomalies.Main outcome measuresBirth prevalence of anorectal malformations per 10 000 live births, risk ratios for isolated and complex anorectal malformation by maternal, infant and birth characteristics, and 5-year survival.ResultsWe identified 3325 infants with anorectal malformations among 9 474 147 live-born singletons; 61.7% (n=2050) of cases were complex. Birth prevalence was 3.5 per 10 000 live births (95% CI 3.4 to 3.6). Complex anorectal malformations were associated with maternal age extremes after accounting for other sociodemographic factors. Compared with maternal ages 25–34 years, the risk of complex anorectal malformations was 31% higher for ≥35 years (95% CI 17 to 48) and 13% higher for ≤24 years (95% CI 0 to 27). Among 2376 anorectal malformation cases (n=1450 complex) born from 2002 through 2014, 5-year survival was lower for complex (86.9%; 95% CI 85.1% to 88.5%) than isolated anorectal malformations (98.2%; 95% CI 97.1% to 98.9%). Preterm infants with complex anorectal malformations had the lowest survival (73.4%; 95% CI 68.1% to 78.0%).ConclusionsDifferences in maternal risk factors for isolated and complex anorectal malformations may reflect different underlying mechanisms for occurrence. Five-year survival is high but lowest for preterm children with complex anorectal malformations.