Automatic Generation of an Evaluation Model of Regional Disaster Prevention Activities Based on Self-Evaluation Questionnaire

Author:

Cui Qinglin, ,Yi Taiyoung,Shimazaki Kan,Taguchi Hitoshi,Usuda Yuichiro

Abstract

Regional disaster prevention activities must be evaluated in terms of their effectiveness and suitability, and then improved on the basis of this evaluation. Those who can evaluate such activities are required to have abundant on-site experience in and extensive knowledge on disaster prevention. However, there is a shortage of such talent, and the training and nurturing thereof requires considerable resources. To address these issues, machine learning was introduced in our previous study to automate the evaluation of such activities. In the present study, we propose the automatic generation of the evaluation model of such activities using the responses of a self-evaluation questionnaire as the input variables. The output variables are the results of a review committee consisting of experts on disaster prevention. This paper describes the application of the model to the fourth Disaster Prevention Map Contest, examines the predicted results, and discusses the application conditions and issues to be resolved.

Publisher

Fuji Technology Press Ltd.

Subject

Engineering (miscellaneous),Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Reference19 articles.

1. N. Okada, “Perspective of Comprehensive Disaster Prevention Science,” Y. Hagihara, N. Okada, and H. Tadano eds., Kyoto University Press, pp. 9-54, 2006 (in Japanese).

2. T. Nagasaka and S. Ikeda, “Strategy and methodology for implementing disaster risk governance,” Japanese J. of Risk Analysis, Vol.17, No.3, pp. 13-23, 2008 (in Japanese with English abstract).

3. T. Nagasaka, H. Tsubokawa, Y. Usuda, S. Nagamatsu, S. Miura, and S. Ikeda, “Participatory Risk Communication Method for Risk Governance Using Disaster Risk Scenarios,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.3, No.6, pp. 442-456, 2009.

4. H. Kawabata, “Development of a Management System for Disaster Mitigation Activities in Local Community,” J. Archit. Plann., AIJ, Vol.73, No.631, pp. 1899-1906, 2008 (in Japanese with English abstract).

5. S. Nagamatsu, T. Nagasaka, Y. Usuda, and S. Ikeda, “How can the ‘Coping Capacity of the Local Community Against Disasters’ be Evaluated?,” Report of the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, No.74, 2009 (in Japanese with English abstract).

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