Pattern Classification of Stock Price Moving

Abstract

The stock is one of the most important instruments of finance. However, the tendency of stock always has a high level of irregularity. In stock market, the stock price moving is considered as a time series problem. Clustering method on stock data is one of the machine learning methods and it is one of the most important analysis methods of technical analysis. The aim of this project is to find an efficient unsupervised learning way to analysis the stock market data to make classification of the patterns on different stock price moving data and get useful information for investment decisions by implementing different clustering algorithms. For this aim, the research objective of this project is to compare several of clustering methods like K-means algorithm, EM algorithm, Canopy algorithm, specify the best number of clusters for each clustering method by several evaluation indexes, show the result of each clustering method and make evaluation on the results of these clustering methods on stock market data of standard S&P 500 stock marketing data. In addition, Weka 3 and Matlab are used to implement the clustering methods and evaluation program. Data visualization shows clearly that those public companies in the same cluster have similar stock price moving pattern. The experiment shows the result that K-means algorithm and EM algorithm perform effectively in stock price moving and Canopy algorithm can be used before K-means algorithm to improve the efficiency.