The Traffic Flow Prediction of Newly-Constructed Expresseway Based on ETC Database

Abstract

The traffic flow prediction of newly-constructed expressway can provide reference for highway capacity design and highway toll standard formulation, but the traffic flow prediction of newly-constructed expressway is always considered a complicated project. With the wide application of electronic toll collection system, it is possible to effectively predict the traffic flow of newly-constructed expressways. In this paper, We propose a new highway traffic flow prediction method based on ETC database. ETC database can be used to extract OD matrix of expressway network, and the dynamic traffic allocation model is applied to predict the traffic flow of newly-constructed expressway. The experimental results show that the method is feasible and effective.