A new approach for the methodology of the assessment of the predicted doses to the public of the Bryansk region in the remote period after the Chernobyl NPP accident

Author:

Yakovlev V. A.1,Bruk G. Ya.1

Affiliation:

1. Saint-Petersburg Research Institute of Radiation Hygiene after Professor P.V. Ramzaev, Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Abstract

This study is aimed at the evaluation of the trends of the doses from internal exposure of the adult public of the Bryansk region due to the consumption of the main dose-forming food products in the remote period after the Chernobyl NPP accident and the methodical features of the assessment of the predicted doses form the internal exposure. A new methodical approach to the calculation of the predicted doses of the public from internal exposure is based on the single exponential model of the change of the dose with a time-dependent period of a half-decrease. Results of the study allowed increasing the precision of calculation of the predicted doses to the public of the Bryansk region up to 2056. A similar method (single exponential model) can be applied for the external exposure as well. That allowed calculating predicted doses of total (external + internal) exposure. As an example, the paper includes the distribution of all settlements in the Bryansk region referred to the zones of radioactive contamination by the predicted average annual effective dose to the public and critical groups in the different time periods after the accident.

Publisher

SPRI of Radiation Hygiene Prof. PV Ramzaev

Subject

Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging

Reference14 articles.

1. Methodical document «Forecasting doses to the public and its critical groups in the remote period after the Chernobyl accident» developed under the IAEA Project: RER/3/004 «Radiological support for the rehabilitation of areas affected as a result of the accident at the Chernobyl NPP», IAEA, Vienna, 2008.

2. Bruk GYa, Bratilova AA, Gromov AV, Zhesko TV, Kaduka AN, Kaduka MV, et al. Development of the joint system of the assessment and prognosis of the doses to the public residing in the reference residual places in the bordering territories of the Union State, affected due to the Chernobyl NPP accident. Mediko-biologicheskie problemy zhiznedeyatelnosti = Medical-biological problems of the life sustenance. 2017;1(17): 168-175 (In Russian).

3. Balonov MI, Romanovich IK, Bruk GYa, Golikov VYu, Bazyukin AB, Bratilova AA. Dynamics of the average annual and accumulated doses to the adult public of the Russian Federation after the Chernobyl NPP accident. Actual issues of the radiation hygiene. Proceedings of the international scientific-practical conference. St.-Petersburg; 2018: 24-29 (In Russian).

4. Bruk GYa, Bratilova AA, Bazyukin AB, Vlasov AYu, Zhesko TV, Kaduka MV, et al. Justification of the list of the residual places in the Russian Federation affected by Chernobyl NPP accident for the transition from the residence in radiation accident conditions to the normal life sustenance. Actual issues of the radiation hygiene. Proceedings of the international scientific-practical conference. St.-Petersburg; 2018: 68-72 (In Russian).

5. Vlasov OK, Bruk GYa, Shchukina NV. Development and validation of the method of the reconstruction of the dynamics of the effective doses of the public of the Russian Federation after the Chernobyl NPP accident. Radiatsiya i risk = Radiation and Risk, 2017;26(3): 28-45 (In Russian).

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