Author:
Ullah Ihsan,Ahmad Saeed,Al-Mdallal Qasem,Khan Zareen A.,Khan Hasib,Khan Aziz
Abstract
AbstractA simple deterministic epidemic model for tuberculosis is addressed in this article. The impact of effective contact rate, treatment rate, and incomplete treatment versus efficient treatment is investigated. We also analyze the asymptotic behavior, spread, and possible eradication of the TB infection. It is observed that the disease transmission dynamics is characterized by the basic reproduction ratio $\Re _{0}$
ℜ
0
; if $\Re _{0}<1$
ℜ
0
<
1
, there is only a disease-free equilibrium which is both locally and globally asymptotically stable. Moreover, for $\Re _{0}>1$
ℜ
0
>
1
, a unique positive endemic equilibrium exists which is globally asymptotically stable. The global stability of the equilibria is shown via Lyapunov function. It is also obtained that incomplete treatment of TB causes increase in disease infection while efficient treatment results in a reduction in TB. Finally, for the estimated parameters, some numerical simulations are performed to verify the analytical results. These numerical results indicate that decrease in the effective contact rate λ and increase in the treatment rate γ play a significant role in the TB infection control.
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Applied Mathematics,Algebra and Number Theory,Analysis
Reference34 articles.
1. Morse, D., Brothwell, D.R., Ucko, P.J.: Tuberculosis in ancient Egypt. Am. Rev. Respir. Dis. 90, 524–541 (1964)
2. Averting HIV and AIDS: AIDS, HIV and Tuberculosis (TB) (2006). http://www.avert.org/tuber.htm
3. Colditz, G.A., Brewer, T.F., Berkey, C.S., Wilson, M.E., Burdick, E., Fineberg, H.V., et al.: Efficacy of BCG vaccines in the prevention of tuberculosis. Meta-analysis of the published literature. JAMA 271, 698–702 (1994)
4. World, H.: Organization. Global tuberculosis report (2019) https://www.who.int/tb/data
5. Waaler, H., Geser, A., Andersen, S.: The use of mathematical models in the study of the epidemiology of tuberculosis. Am. J. Public Health Nation’s Health 52, 1002–1013 (1962)
Cited by
52 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献