Predictors of survival after surgery with curative intent for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Background Several clinicopathological predictors of survival after curative surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) have been identified; however, conflicting reports remain. The aim was to analyse clinical and oncological outcomes after curative resection of pCCA and to determine prognostic factors. Methods Eighty-eight consecutive patients with pCCA underwent surgery with curative intent between 1998 and 2017. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Twenty-one prognostic factors were evaluated using multivariate Cox regression models. Results Postoperative complications were observed in 73 (83%) patients of which 41 (47%) were severe complications (therapy-oriented severity grading system (TOSGS) grade > 2), including a 90-day mortality of 9% (n = 8). Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates at 5 and 10 years after surgery were 33% and 19%, and 37% and 30%, respectively. Independent predictors of OS were locoregional lymph node metastasis (LNM) (risk ratio (RR) 2.12, confidence interval (CI) 1.19–3.81, p = 0.011), patient American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification system > 2 (RR 2.10, CI 1.03–4.26, p = 0.043), and depth of tumour penetration (pT) > 2 (RR 2.58, CI 1.03–6.30, p = 0.043). The presence of locoregional LNM (RR 2.95, CI 1.51–5.90, p = 0.002) and caudate lobe resection (RR 2.19, CI 1.01–5.14, p = 0.048) were found as independent predictors of DFS. Conclusions Curative surgery for pCCA carries high risks with poor long-term survival. Locoregional LNM was the only predictor for both OS and DFS.