The pancreas-to-muscle signal intensity ratio on T1-weighted MRI as a predictive biomarker for postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy: a single-center retrospective study

Abstract

Abstract Background Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the serious complications of pancreatic surgery. When POPF occurs and becomes severe, it causes secondary complications and a longer treatment period. We previously reported a correlation between pancreatic fibrosis and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, and MRI may have the potential to predict POPF. This study aimed to assess the predictive ability of the pancreas-to-muscle signal intensity ratio on T1-weighted MRI (SIR on T1-w MRI) for POPF after distal pancreatectomy (DP). Methods This single-institution retrospective study comprised 117 patients who underwent DP. It was conducted between 2010 and 2021 at the Gifu University Hospital. We statistically analyzed pre-, intra-, and postoperative factors to assess the correlation with POPF. Results According to the definition and grading of the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula (ISGPF), 29 (24.8%) of the 117 patients had POPF grades B and C. In the univariate analysis, POPF was significantly associated with the pancreas-to-muscle SIR on T1-w MRI, the drainage fluid amylase concentration (D-Amy) levels on postoperative day (POD) 1 and 3, white blood cell count on POD 1 and 3, C-reactive protein level on POD 3, and heart rate on POD 3. In multivariate analysis, only the pancreas-to-muscle SIR on T1-w MRI (>1.37; odds ratio [OR] 23.25; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.93–454.03; p < 0.01) and D-Amy level on POD 3 (>737 U/l; OR 3.91; 95% CI 1.02–16.36; p = 0.046) were identified as independent predictive factors. Conclusions The pancreas-to-muscle SIR on T1-w MRI and postoperative D-Amy levels were able to predict the development of POPF after DP. The pancreas-to-muscle SIR on T1-w MRI may be a potential objective biomarker reflecting pancreatic status.