Radiomics predict the WHO/ISUP nuclear grade and survival in clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Objectives This study aimed to assess the predictive value of radiomics derived from intratumoral and peritumoral regions and to develop a radiomics nomogram to predict preoperative nuclear grade and overall survival (OS) in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Methods The study included 395 patients with ccRCC from our institution. The patients in Center A (anonymous) institution were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 284) and an internal validation cohort (n = 71). An external validation cohort comprising 40 patients from Center B also was included. Computed tomography (CT) radiomics features were extracted from the internal area of the tumor (IAT) and IAT combined peritumoral areas of the tumor at 3 mm (PAT 3 mm) and 5 mm (PAT 5 mm). Independent predictors from both clinical and radiomics scores (Radscore) were used to construct a radiomics nomogram. Kaplan–Meier analysis with a log-rank test was performed to evaluate the correlation between factors and OS. Results The PAT 5-mm radiomics model (RM) exhibited exceptional predictive capability for grading, achieving an area under the curves of 0.80, 0.80, and 0.90 in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts. The nomogram and RM gained from the PAT 5-mm region were more clinically useful than the clinical model. The association between OS and predicted nuclear grade derived from the PAT 5-mm Radscore and the nomogram-predicted score was statistically significant (p < 0.05). Conclusion The CT-based radiomics and nomograms showed valuable predictive capabilities for the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology grade and OS in patients with ccRCC. Critical relevance statement The intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics are feasible and promising to predict nuclear grade and overall survival in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma, which can contribute to the development of personalized preoperative treatment strategies. Key Points The multi-regional radiomics features are associated with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) grading and prognosis. The combination of intratumoral and peritumoral 5 mm regional features demonstrated superior predictive performance for grading. The nomogram and radiomics models have a broad range of clinical applications. Graphical Abstract