A comparison of four epidemic waves of COVID-19 in Malawi; an observational cohort study

Author:

Anscombe Catherine,Lissauer Samantha,Thole Herbert,Rylance Jamie,Dula Dingase,Menyere Mavis,Kutambe Belson,van der Veer Charlotte,Phiri Tamara,Banda Ndaziona P.,Mndolo Kwazizira S.,Mponda Kelvin,Phiri Chimota,Mallewa Jane,Nyirenda Mulinda,Katha Grace,Mwandumba Henry,Gordon Stephen B.,Jambo Kondwani C.,Cornick Jennifer,Feasey Nicholas,Barnes Kayla G.,Morton Ben,Ashton Philip M.,Kalua Wezzie,Mandala Peter,Katutula Barbara,Ng’oma Rosaleen,Lanken Steven,Phulusa Jacob,Mkandawire Mercy,Kaimba Sylvester,Nthala Sharon,Nsomba Edna,Keyala Lucy,Chinoko Beatrice,Gmeiner Markus,Kaudzu Vella,Freyne Bridget,Swarthout Todd D.,Tam Pui-Ying Iroh,Sichone Simon,Ahmadu Ajisa,Stima Grace,Masina Mazuba,Kanjewa Oscar,Nyasulu Vita,Chinyama End,Zuza Allan,Denis Brigitte,Storey Evance,Bondera Nedson,Matchado Danford,Chande Adams,Chingota Arthur,Ntwea Chimenya,Mkandawire Langford,Mhango Chimwemwe,Lakudzala Agness,Chaponda Mphatso,Mwenechanya Percy,Mvaya Leonard,Tembo Dumizulu,Henrion Marc Y. R.,Chirombo James,Kambiya Paul,Masesa Clemens,Gondwe Joel,

Abstract

Abstract Background Compared to the abundance of clinical and genomic information available on patients hospitalised with COVID-19 disease from high-income countries, there is a paucity of data from low-income countries. Our aim was to explore the relationship between viral lineage and patient outcome. Methods We enrolled a prospective observational cohort of adult patients hospitalised with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 disease between July 2020 and March 2022 from Blantyre, Malawi, covering four waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Clinical and diagnostic data were collected using an adapted ISARIC clinical characterization protocol for COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 isolates were sequenced using the MinION™ in Blantyre. Results We enrolled 314 patients, good quality sequencing data was available for 55 patients. The sequencing data showed that 8 of 11 participants recruited in wave one had B.1 infections, 6/6 in wave two had Beta, 25/26 in wave three had Delta and 11/12 in wave four had Omicron. Patients infected during the Delta and Omicron waves reported fewer underlying chronic conditions and a shorter time to presentation. Significantly fewer patients required oxygen (22.7% [17/75] vs. 58.6% [140/239], p < 0.001) and steroids (38.7% [29/75] vs. 70.3% [167/239], p < 0.001) in the Omicron wave compared with the other waves. Multivariable logistic-regression demonstrated a trend toward increased mortality in the Delta wave (OR 4.99 [95% CI 1.0–25.0 p = 0.05) compared to the first wave of infection. Conclusions Our data show that each wave of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 was infected with a distinct viral variant. The clinical data suggests that patients with severe COVID-19 disease were more likely to die during the Delta wave.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Infectious Diseases

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