Establishment and validation of nomogram for predicting immuno checkpoint inhibitor related pneumonia

Abstract

Abstract Objective Cancer is one of the main causes of death worldwide. Although immunotherapy brings hope for cancer treatment, it is also accompanied by immune checkpoint inhibitor-related adverse events (irAEs). Immune checkpoint inhibitor pneumonia (CIP) is a potentially fatal adverse event, but there is still a lack of effective markers and prediction models to identify patients at increased risk of CIP. Methods A total of 369 cancer patients treated between 2017 and 2022 with immune checkpoint inhibitors at Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University and Liaoning People's Hospital were recruited for this study. Independent variables were selected by differences and binary logistic regression analysis, and a risk assessment nomogram was constructed for CIP risk. The accuracy and discriminative abilities of the nomogram were evaluated by calibration plots, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) and decision curve analyses (DCAs). Results Binary logistic regression analysis showed that smoking history, acute phase proteins [interleukin (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP)], CD8 + T lymphocyte count and serum alveolar protein [surface protein-A (SP-A) and Krebs Von den Lungen-6 (KL-6)] were significantly associated with CIP risk. A nomogram consisting of these variables was established and validated by different analyses. Conclusions We developed an effective risk nomogram for CIP prediction in immune-checkpoint inhibitor administrated cancer patients, which will further assist early detection of immunotherapy-related adverse events.