Mendelian randomization analysis suggests no causal influence of gastroesophageal reflux disease on the susceptibility and prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Abstract

Abstract Background The relationship between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and the susceptibility as well as the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has been previously suggested, with the potential confounding factor of smoking not adequately addressed. In light of this, we conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) study to investigate the causal effects of GERD on the susceptibility and prognosis of IPF while excluding smoking. Methods We chose GERD as the exposure variable and employed genome-wide association data to examine its association with susceptibility, forced vital capacity (FVC), diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLco), and transplant-free survival (TFS) in patients with IPF as the outcome variables. MR analyses were performed using the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, and sensitivity analyses were conducted using the MR-PRESSO outlier test, Cochran’s Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, and leave-one-out sensitivity analysis. Additionally, to mitigate the potential effects of smoking on our MR estimates, we conducted a multivariable MR (MVMR) analysis by adjusting for smoking. Results The univariable MR analysis demonstrated no causal effect of GERD on FVC (βIVW = 26.63, SE = 48.23, P = 0.581), DLco (βIVW = 0.12, SE = 0.12, P = 0.319), and TFS (HRIVW = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.56 to 1.35, P = 0.533) in patients with IPF. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis revealed no evidence of heterogeneity, horizontal pleiotropy, or outlier single nucleotide polymorphisms. The MVMR analysis showed no causal effect of GERD on susceptibility to IPF after adjusting for smoking (ORIVW = 1.30, 95% CI = 0.93 to 1.68, P = 0.071). These findings were consistent in the replication cohort. Conclusions The link between GERD and its potential impact on susceptibility to IPF may not be of a direct causal nature and could be influenced by factors such as smoking. Our findings did not reveal any evidence of a causal relationship between GERD and the FVC, DLco, and TFS of patients with IPF.