Identification of characteristics predictive of long-term survival with durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab in metastatic urothelial carcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Background This retrospective analysis of data from clinical trials in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) was conducted to determine baseline patient characteristics associated with long-term survival (LTS) following treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors. Methods Data for this analysis were from patients with platinum-refractory mUC who received durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab in phase 1/2 studies. The primary outcome measure was LTS. Patients were categorised as overall survival (OS) ≥ 2 years (from first dose) or OS < 2 years. A univariable analysis assessed independent associations with LTS and multivariable logistic regression was employed including each variable with P ≤ 0.05 as covariates. Results Among 360 patients, 88 (24.4%) had OS ≥ 2 years and 272 (75.6%) had OS < 2 years. In univariable analysis, several baseline characteristics and laboratory measurements were associated with LTS including sex, ECOG PS, PD-L1 expression, prior surgery, time from initial diagnosis, lymph node-only involvement, visceral disease, haemoglobin level, absolute neutrophil count, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase level. In multivariable analysis, LTS was significantly associated with ECOG PS, PD-L1 expression, haemoglobin level and absolute neutrophil count. Conclusions Several baseline clinical characteristics and laboratory measurements were associated with LTS for patients with platinum-refractory mUC treated with durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab.