Correlation between spleen density and prognostic outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer after curative resection

Abstract

Abstract Objective The objective of this study was to investigate the correlation between spleen density and the prognostic outcomes of patients who underwent curative resection for colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods The clinical data of patients who were diagnosed with CRC and underwent radical resection were retrospectively analyzed. Spleen density was determined using computed tomography. Analysis of spleen density in relation to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) utilizing the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to screen for independent prognostic factors, and a nomogram was constructed to predict OS and DFS. Moreover, internally validated using a bootstrap resamplling method. Results Two hundred twelve patients were included, of whom 23 (10.85%) were defined as having a diffuse reduction of spleen density (DROSD) based on diagnostic cutoff values (spleen density≦37.00HU). Kaplan–Meier analysis indicated that patients with DROSD had worse OS and DFS than those non-DROSD (P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that DROSD, carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199) > 37 U/mL, tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage III-IV, laparoscopy-assisted operation and American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score were independent risk factors for 3-year DFS. DROSD, CA199 > 37 U/mL, TNM stage III-IV, hypoalbuminemia, laparoscopy-assisted operation and ASA score were chosen as predictors of for 3-year OS. Nomograms showed satisfactory accuracy in predicting OS and DFS using calibration curves, decision curve analysis and bootstrap resamplling method. Conclusion Patients with DROSD who underwent curative resection have worse 3-year DFS and OS. The nomogram demonstrated good performance, particularly in predicting 3-year DFS with a net clinical benefit superior to well-established risk calculator.