An energy metabolism-based eight-gene signature correlates with the clinical outcome of esophagus carcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Background The essence of energy metabolism has spread to the field of esophageal cancer (ESC) cells. Herein, we tried to develop a prognostic prediction model for patients with ESC based on the expression profiles of energy metabolism associated genes. Materials and methods The overall survival (OS) predictive gene signature was developed, internally and externally validated based on ESC datasets including The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), GSE54993 and GSE19417 datasets. Hub genes were identified in each energy metabolism related molecular subtypes by weighted gene correlation network analysis, and then enrolled for determination of prognostic genes. Univariate, LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analysis were applied to assess prognostic genes and build the prognostic gene signature. Kaplan-Meier curve, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, nomogram, decision curve analysis (DCA), and restricted mean survival time (EMST) were used to assess the performance of the gene signature. Results A novel energy metabolism based eight-gene signature (including UBE2Z, AMTN, AK1, CDCA4, TLE1, FXN, ZBTB6 and APLN) was established, which could dichotomize patients with significantly different OS in ESC. The eight-gene signature demonstrated independent prognostication potential in patient with ESC. The prognostic nomogram constructed based on the gene signature showed excellent predictive performance, whose robustness and clinical usability were higher than three previous reported prognostic gene signatures. Conclusions Our study established a novel energy metabolism based eight-gene signature and nomogram to predict the OS of ESC, which may help in precise clinical management.