18F-FET PET radiomics-based survival prediction in glioblastoma patients receiving radio(chemo)therapy

Abstract

Abstract Background Quantitative image analysis based on radiomic feature extraction is an emerging field for survival prediction in oncological patients. 18F-Fluorethyltyrosine positron emission tomography (18F-FET PET) provides important diagnostic and grading information for brain tumors, but data on its use in survival prediction is scarce. In this study, we aim at investigating survival prediction based on multiple radiomic features in glioblastoma patients undergoing radio(chemo)therapy. Methods A dataset of 37 patients with glioblastoma (WHO grade 4) receiving radio(chemo)therapy was analyzed. Radiomic features were extracted from pre-treatment 18F-FET PET images, following intensity rebinning with a fixed bin width. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied for variable selection, aiming at the identification of the most relevant features in survival prediction. Random forest classification and prediction algorithms were optimized on an initial set of 25 patients. Testing of the implemented algorithms was carried out in different scenarios, which included additional 12 patients whose images were acquired with a different scanner to check the reproducibility in prediction results. Results First order intensity variations and shape features were predominant in the selection of most important radiomic signatures for survival prediction in the available dataset. The major axis length of the 18F-FET-PET volume at tumor to background ratio (TBR) 1.4 and 1.6 correlated significantly with reduced probability of survival. Additional radiomic features were identified as potential survival predictors in the PTV region, showing 76% accuracy in independent testing for both classification and regression. Conclusions 18F-FET PET prior to radiation provides relevant information for survival prediction in glioblastoma patients. Based on our preliminary analysis, radiomic features in the PTV can be considered a robust dataset for survival prediction.