Author:
Chen Nai-Bin,Xiong Mai,Zhou Rui,Zhou Yin,Qiu Bo,Luo Yi-Feng,Zhou Su,Chu Chu,Li Qi-Wen,Wang Bin,Jiang Hai-Hang,Guo Jin-Yu,Peng Kang-Qiang,Xie Chuan-Miao,Liu Hui
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is the standard treatment for locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LANSCLC) patients, but the treatment response and survival outcomes varied among these patients. We aimed to identify pretreatment computed tomography-based radiomics features extracted from tumor and tumor organismal environment (TOE) for long-term survival prediction in these patients treated with CCRT.
Methods
A total of 298 eligible patients were randomly assigned into the training cohort and validation cohort with a ratio 2:1. An integrated feature selection and model training approach using support vector machine combined with genetic algorithm was performed to predict 3-year overall survival (OS). Patients were stratified into the high-risk and low-risk group based on the predicted survival status. Pulmonary function test and blood gas analysis indicators were associated with radiomic features. Dynamic changes of peripheral blood lymphocytes counts before and after CCRT had been documented.
Results
Nine features including 5 tumor-related features and 4 pulmonary features were selected in the predictive model. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the training and validation cohort were 0.965 and 0.869, and were reduced by 0.179 and 0.223 when all pulmonary features were excluded. Based on radiomics-derived stratification, the low-risk group yielded better 3-year OS (68.4% vs. 3.3%, p < 0.001) than the high-risk group. Patients in the low-risk group had better baseline FEV1/FVC% (96.3% vs. 85.9%, p = 0.046), less Grade ≥ 3 lymphopenia during CCRT (63.2% vs. 83.3%, p = 0.031), better recovery of lymphopenia from CCRT (71.4% vs. 27.8%, p < 0.001), lower incidence of Grade ≥ 2 radiation-induced pneumonitis (31.6% vs. 53.3%, p = 0.040), superior tumor remission (84.2% vs. 66.7%, p = 0.003).
Conclusion
Pretreatment radiomics features from tumor and TOE could boost the long-term survival forecast accuracy in LANSCLC patients, and the predictive results could be utilized as an effective indicator for survival risk stratification. Low-risk patients might benefit more from radical CCRT and further adjuvant immunotherapy.
Trial registration:
retrospectively registered.
Funder
National Key R&D Program of China
Suzhou Municipal Science and Technology Program
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging,Oncology
Cited by
7 articles.
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