Early tumor shrinkage and response assessment according to mRECIST predict overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients under sorafenib

Author:

Öcal Osman,Schinner Regina,Schütte Kerstin,de Toni Enrico N.,Loewe Christian,van Delden Otto,Vandecaveye Vincent,Gebauer Bernhard,Zech Christoph J.,Sengel Christian,Bargellini Irene,Gasbarrini Antonio,Sangro Bruno,Pech Maciej,Malfertheiner Peter,Ricke Jens,Seidensticker Max,Kettner E.,Amthauer H.,Cwikla J.,Walecki J.,Klümpen H.,Schott E.,Kolligs F.,Rosmorduc O.,Menu Y.,Leroy V.,Mayerle J.,Trumm C.,Bartenstein P.,Reiser M.,Berg T.,Moche M.,Bilbao I.,Gossner L.,Reimer P.,Popovic P.,Stabuc B.,Piasecki P.,Podgajny Z.,Sacco R.,Peck-Radosavljevic M.,Lammer J.,Maleux G.,Verslype C.,Rosenberg C.,Nitsche D.,Waldenberger P.,Vergniol J.,Cassinotto C.,Yalcin S.,Peynircioglu B.,Zavaglia C.,Rampoldi A.,Tran A.,Chevallier P.,Anty R.,Trautwein C.,Kuhl C.,Grazioli L.,Vogl T.,Trojan J.,Bartolozzi C.,Iezzi R.,Bronowicki J. P.,Palmer D.,Evans J.,Sharma R.,Weir G.,Hubner R.,Basu B.,Ross P.,

Abstract

Abstract Background The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between follow-up imaging characteristics and overall survival (OS) in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients under sorafenib treatment. Methods Associations between OS and objective response (OR) by mRECIST or early tumor shrinkage (ETS; ≥20% reduction in enhancing tumor diameter at the first follow-up imaging) were analyzed in HCC patients treated with sorafenib within a multicenter phase II trial (SORAMIC). 115 patients were included in this substudy. The relationship between survival and OR or ETS were explored. Landmark analyses were performed according to OR at fixed time points. Cox proportional hazards models with OR and ETS as a time-dependent covariate were used to compare survival with factors known to influence OS. Results The OR rate was 29.5%. Responders had significantly better OS than non-responders (median 30.3 vs. 11.4 months; HR, 0.38 [95% CI, 0.22–0.63], p < 0.001), and longer progression-free survival (PFS; median 10.1 vs. 4.3 months, p = 0.015). Patients with ETS ≥ 20% had longer OS (median 22.1 vs. 11.4 months, p = 0.002) and PFS (median 8.0 vs. 4.3 months, p = 0.034) than patients with ETS < 20%. Besides OR and ETS, male gender, lower bilirubin and ALBI grade were associated with improved OS in univariate analysis. Separate models of multivariable analysis confirmed OR and ETS as independent predictors of OS. Conclusion OR according to mRECIST and ETS in patients receiving sorafenib treatment are independent prognostic factors for OS. These parameters can be used for assessment of treatment benefit and optimal treatment sequencing in patients with advanced HCC.

Funder

bayer healthcare

sirtex

Universitätsklinik München

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging,Oncology,General Medicine,Radiological and Ultrasound Technology

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