Development and validation of an ultrasound-based deep learning radiomics nomogram for predicting the malignant risk of ovarian tumours

Abstract

Abstract Background The timely identification and management of ovarian cancer are critical determinants of patient prognosis. In this study, we developed and validated a deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLR_Nomogram) based on ultrasound (US) imaging to accurately predict the malignant risk of ovarian tumours and compared the diagnostic performance of the DLR_Nomogram to that of the ovarian-adnexal reporting and data system (O-RADS). Methods This study encompasses two research tasks. Patients were randomly divided into training and testing sets in an 8:2 ratio for both tasks. In task 1, we assessed the malignancy risk of 849 patients with ovarian tumours. In task 2, we evaluated the malignancy risk of 391 patients with O-RADS 4 and O-RADS 5 ovarian neoplasms. Three models were developed and validated to predict the risk of malignancy in ovarian tumours. The predicted outcomes of the models for each sample were merged to form a new feature set that was utilised as an input for the logistic regression (LR) model for constructing a combined model, visualised as the DLR_Nomogram. Then, the diagnostic performance of these models was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results The DLR_Nomogram demonstrated superior predictive performance in predicting the malignant risk of ovarian tumours, as evidenced by area under the ROC curve (AUC) values of 0.985 and 0.928 for the training and testing sets of task 1, respectively. The AUC value of its testing set was lower than that of the O-RADS; however, the difference was not statistically significant. The DLR_Nomogram exhibited the highest AUC values of 0.955 and 0.869 in the training and testing sets of task 2, respectively. The DLR_Nomogram showed satisfactory fitting performance for both tasks in Hosmer–Lemeshow testing. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the DLR_Nomogram yielded greater net clinical benefits for predicting malignant ovarian tumours within a specific range of threshold values. Conclusions The US-based DLR_Nomogram has shown the capability to accurately predict the malignant risk of ovarian tumours, exhibiting a predictive efficacy comparable to that of O-RADS.