A computational clinical decision-supporting system to suggest effective anti-epileptic drugs for pediatric epilepsy patients based on deep learning models using patient’s medical history

Abstract

Abstract Background Epilepsy, a chronic brain disorder characterized by abnormal brain activity that causes seizures and other symptoms, is typically treated using anti-epileptic drugs (AEDs) as the first-line therapy. However, due to the variations in their modes of action, identification of effective AEDs often relies on ad hoc trials, which is particularly challenging for pediatric patients. Thus, there is significant value in computational methods capable of assisting in the selection of AEDs, aiming to minimize unnecessary medication and improve treatment efficacy. Results In this study, we collected 7,507 medical records from 1,000 pediatric epilepsy patients and developed a computational clinical decision-supporting system for AED selection. This system leverages three multi-channel convolutional neural network (CNN) models tailored to three specific AEDs (vigabatrin, prednisolone, and clobazam). Each CNN model predicts whether a respective AED is effective on a given patient or not. The CNN models showed AUROCs of 0.90, 0.80, and 0.92 in 10-fold cross-validation, respectively. Evaluation on a hold-out test dataset further revealed positive predictive values (PPVs) of 0.92, 0.97, and 0.91 for the three respective CNN models, representing that suggested AEDs by our models would be effective in controlling epilepsy with a high accuracy and thereby reducing unnecessary medications for pediatric patients. Conclusion Our CNN models in the system demonstrated high PPVs for the three AEDs, which signifies the potential of our approach to support the clinical decision-making by assisting doctors in recommending effective AEDs within the three AEDs for patients based on their medical history. This would result in a reduction in the number of unnecessary ad hoc attempts to find an effective AED for pediatric epilepsy patients.