Extent of predation bias present in migration survival and timing of Atlantic salmon smolt (Salmo salar) as suggested by a novel acoustic tag

Abstract

Abstract Background Acoustic telemetry is increasingly being used as a tool to measure survival, migration timing and behaviour of fish. Tagged fish may fall prey to other animals with the tag continuing to be detected whilst it remains in the gastrointestinal tract of the predator. Failure to identify post-predation detections introduces “predation bias” into the data. We employed a new predator tag technology in the first known field trial to understand the extent these tags could reduce predation bias in Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar L.) smolt migration through a 65-km zone beginning in freshwater and extending through an estuary. These tags signal predation by detecting a pH change in the predators’ gut during digestion of a tagged prey. We quantified survival and timing bias by comparing measurements from non- and post-predated detections of tagged individuals’ to only those detections where predation was not signalled. Results Of the 50 fish tagged, 41 were detected with 24 of these signalling as predated. Predation bias was greatest in the upper estuary and decreased towards the bay. Survival bias peaked at 11.6% at river km 54. Minimum and maximum migration time were both biased long and were 16% and 4% greater than bias corrected timing at river km 66 and 54, respectively. After correcting for bias, the apparent survival from release through freshwater and estuary was 19% and minimum and maximum migration timing was 6.6 and 7.0 days, respectively. Conclusions Using this tag, we identified a high proportion of predation events that may have otherwise gone unnoticed using conventional acoustic tags. Estimated survival presented the greatest predation bias in the upper estuary which gradually declined to nearly no apparent bias in the lower estuary as predated tags failed through time to be detected. This is most likely due to tag expulsion from the predator between or upstream of receiver arrays. Whilst we have demonstrated that predation can bias telemetry results, it appears to be rather short-lived given the apparent retention times of these tags within the predators introducing the bias.