A clinical radiomics nomogram preoperatively to predict ductal carcinoma in situ with microinvasion in women with biopsy-confirmed ductal carcinoma in situ: a preliminary study

Abstract

Abstract Purpose To predict ductal carcinoma in situ with microinvasion (DCISMI) based on clinicopathologic, conventional breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and dynamic contrast enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) radiomics signatures in women with biopsy-confirmed ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). Methods Eighty-six women with eighty-seven biopsy-proven DCIS who underwent preoperative MRI and underwent surgery were retrospectively identified. Clinicopathologic, conventional MRI, DCE-MRI radiomics, combine (based on conventional MRI and DCE-MRI radiomics), traditional (based on clinicopathologic and conventional MRI) and mixed (based on clinicopathologic, conventional MRI and DCE-MRI radiomics) models were constructed by logistic regression (LR) with a 3-fold cross-validation, all evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. A clinical radiomics nomogram was then built by incorporating the Radiomics score, significant clinicopathologic and conventional MRI features of mixed model. Results The area under the curves (AUCs) of clinicopathologic, conventional MRI, DCE-MRI radiomics, traditional, combine, and mixed model were 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59–0.94), 0.77 (95%CI 0.59–0.95), 0.74 (95%CI 0.55–0.93), 0.87 (95%CI 0.73–1), 0.8 (95%CI 0.63–0.96), and 0.93 (95%CI 0.84–1) in the validation cohort, respectively. The clinical radiomics nomogram based on mixed model showed higher AUCs than both clinicopathologic and DCE-MRI radiomics models in training/test (all P < 0.05) set and showed the greatest overall net benefit for upstaging according to decision curve analysis (DCA). Conclusion A nomogram constructed by combining clinicopathologic, conventional MRI features and DCE-MRI radiomics signatures may be useful in predicting DCISMI from DICS preoperatively.