Radiomics analysis of lesion-specific pericoronary adipose tissue to predict major adverse cardiovascular events in coronary artery disease

Abstract

Abstract Objective To investigate the prognostic performance of radiomics analysis of lesion-specific pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) with the guidance of CT derived fractional flow reserve (CT-FFR) in coronary artery disease (CAD). Materials and methods The study retrospectively analyzed 608 CAD patients who underwent coronary CT angiography. Lesion-specific PCAT was determined by the lowest CT-FFR value and 1691 radiomic features were extracted. MACE included cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unplanned revascularization and hospitalization for unstable angina. Four models were generated, incorporating traditional risk factors (clinical model), radiomics score (Rad-score, radiomics model), traditional risk factors and Rad-score (clinical radiomics model) and all together (combined model). The model performances were evaluated and compared with Harrell concordance index (C-index), area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic. Results Lesion-specific Rad-score was associated with MACE (adjusted HR = 1.330, p = 0.009). The combined model yielded the highest C-index of 0.718, which was higher than clinical model (C-index = 0.639), radiomics model (C-index = 0.653) and clinical radiomics model (C-index = 0.698) (all p < 0.05). The clinical radiomics model had significant higher C-index than clinical model (p = 0.030). There were no significant differences in C-index between clinical or clinical radiomics model and radiomics model (p values were 0.796 and 0.147 respectively). The AUC increased from 0.674 for clinical model to 0.721 for radiomics model, 0.759 for clinical radiomics model and 0.773 for combined model. Conclusion Radiomics analysis of lesion-specific PCAT is useful in predicting MACE. Combination of lesion-specific Rad-score and CT-FFR shows incremental value over traditional risk factors.