Deep learning imaging phenotype can classify metabolic syndrome and is predictive of cardiometabolic disorders

Abstract

Abstract Background Cardiometabolic disorders pose significant health risks globally. Metabolic syndrome, characterized by a cluster of potentially reversible metabolic abnormalities, is a known risk factor for these disorders. Early detection and intervention for individuals with metabolic abnormalities can help mitigate the risk of developing more serious cardiometabolic conditions. This study aimed to develop an image-derived phenotype (IDP) for metabolic abnormality from unenhanced abdominal computed tomography (CT) scans using deep learning. We used this IDP to classify individuals with metabolic syndrome and predict future occurrence of cardiometabolic disorders. Methods A multi-stage deep learning approach was used to extract the IDP from the liver region of unenhanced abdominal CT scans. In a cohort of over 2,000 individuals the IDP was used to classify individuals with metabolic syndrome. In a subset of over 1,300 individuals, the IDP was used to predict future occurrence of hypertension, type II diabetes, and fatty liver disease. Results For metabolic syndrome (MetS) classification, we compared the performance of the proposed IDP to liver attenuation and visceral adipose tissue area (VAT). The proposed IDP showed the strongest performance (AUC 0.82) compared to attenuation (AUC 0.70) and VAT (AUC 0.80). For disease prediction, we compared the performance of the IDP to baseline MetS diagnosis. The models including the IDP outperformed MetS for type II diabetes (AUCs 0.91 and 0.90) and fatty liver disease (AUCs 0.67 and 0.62) prediction and performed comparably for hypertension prediction (AUCs of 0.77). Conclusions This study demonstrated the superior performance of a deep learning IDP compared to traditional radiomic features to classify individuals with metabolic syndrome. Additionally, the IDP outperformed the clinical definition of metabolic syndrome in predicting future morbidities. Our findings underscore the utility of data-driven imaging phenotypes as valuable tools in the assessment and management of metabolic syndrome and cardiometabolic disorders.