Usefulness of lactate to albumin ratio for predicting in-hospital mortality in atrial fibrillation patients admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective analysis from MIMIC-IV database

Abstract

Abstract Background High lactate to albumin ratio (LAR) has been reported to be associated to with poor prognosis in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). However, its role in predicting in-hospital mortality in AF patients admitted to ICU has not been explored. Methods The Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database was used to retrieve information on patients who had been diagnosed with AF. X-tile software was utilized to determine the optimal cut-off LAR. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were conducted to assess the prediction performance of LAR for in-hospital mortality. Results Finally, 8,287 AF patients were included and 1,543 death (18.6%) occurred. The optimal cut-off value of LAR is 0.5. Patients in lower LAR (< 0.5) group showed a better in-hospital survival compared to patients in higher LAR (≥ 0.5) group (HR: 2.67, 95%CI:2.39–2.97, P < 0.001). A nomogram for in-hospital mortality in patients with AF was constructed based on multivariate Cox analysis including age, CCI, β blockers usage, APSIII, hemoglobin and LAR. This nomogram exhibited excellent discrimination and calibration abilities in predicting in-hospital mortality for critically ill AF patients. Conclusion LAR, as a readily available biomarker, can predict in-hospital mortality in AF patients admitted to the ICU. The nomogram that combined LAR with other relevant variables performed exceptionally well in terms of predicting in-hospital mortality.