An analysis of transition-resulted goal scoring patterns in football leagues: a comparison of the first 5 rounds and the last 5 rounds prior midway of the season

Abstract

Abstract Objective This study investigated the concept of ‘game style’ in football, focusing on a team’s distinctive approach characterized by tactics, formations, and strategies. The objective is to compare goal-scoring patterns related to “non-offensive transition,” “set pieces,” “offensive transition,” and “positive outcomes” across different league groups. Methodology: The sample comprises 702 football games, categorized into three league groups: Top Leagues, Marginal Leagues, and Emerging Leagues. A total of 2140 goals were analyzed, classifying them into four types: “No Transitions”, “Set Pieces”, “Offensive Transitions (direct), and “Positive Outcomes” of offensive transitions. The study aims to identify relevant differences between two distinct competitive periods, namely “Rounds 1 to 5” and “Rounds Last 5.” Results: The analysis reveals no significant differences in scoring methods between “Rounds 1 to 5” and “Rounds Last 5” across all variables in the analyzed league groups, except for goals conceded by “No Transition” in the Emerging Leagues. Additionally, results indicate that goals resulting from direct offensive transitions and positive outcomes substantially impact the Top Leagues, constituting 54% of the total scoring. Conclusion: The study emphasizes the importance of establishing and maintaining consolidated game patterns, as demonstrated by the consistent scoring patterns across different league groups. While most leagues show no variations in scoring methods between early and late rounds, attention to goals conceded by “No Transition” in Emerging Leagues is warranted. The prominence of direct offensive transitions and positive outcomes in Top Leagues highlights the relevance of these strategies in the scoring process, emphasizing the need for teams to focus on developing and implementing effective game patterns.