Triglyceride-glucose index: a novel evaluation tool for all-cause mortality in critically ill hemorrhagic stroke patients-a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

Abstract

Abstract Background Hemorrhagic stroke (HS), including non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), constitutes a substantial proportion of cerebrovascular incidents, accounting for around 30% of stroke cases. The triglyceride-glucose index (TyG-i) represents a precise insulin resistance (IR) indicator, a crucial metabolic disturbance. Existing literature has demonstrated an association between TyG-i and all-cause mortality (ACM) among individuals suffering from ischemic stroke (IS). Yet, the TyG-i prognostic implications for severe HS patients necessitating intensive care unit (ICU) admission are not clearly understood. Considering the notably elevated mortality and morbidity associated with HS relative to IS, investigating this association is warranted. Our primary aim was to investigate TyG-i and ACM association among critically ill HS patients within an ICU context. Methods Herein, patients with severe HS were identified by accessing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV, version 2.2) database, using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9/10 as diagnostic guidelines. Subsequently, we stratified the subjects into quartiles, relying on their TyG-i scores. Moreover, we measured mortality at ICU, in-hospital, 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year as the outcomes. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were deployed for elucidating the relation between the TyG-i and ACM while utilizing the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method to estimate survival curves. The findings’ robustness was assessed by conducting subgroup analysis and interaction tests employing likelihood ratio tests. Results The analysis included 1475 patients, with a male predominance of 54.4%. Observed mortality rates in the ICU, hospital, 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year were 7.3%, 10.9%, 13.8%, 19.7%, and 27.3%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis results manifested that heightened TyG-i was significantly related to ACM at 30 days (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–1.67; P = 0.020), 90 days (aHR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.04–1.55; P = 0.019), and 1 year (aHR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.03–1.44; P = 0.023). The results of RCS analysis demonstrated a progressive elevation in ACM risk with rising TyG-i levels. Interaction tests found no significant effect modification in this relationship. Conclusion In summary, TyG-i exhibits a significant correlation with ACM among patients enduring critical illness due to HS. This correlation underscores the probable utility of TyG-i as a prognostic tool for stratifying HS patients according to their risk of mortality. Applying TyG-i in clinical settings could enhance therapeutic decision-making and the management of disease trajectories. Additionally, this investigation augments existing research on the linkage between the TyG-i and IS, elucidating the TyG-i’s role in predicting mortality across diverse stroke categories.